• The “Liberation Day Tariff” rolled off provide ST relief, but considerable anomaly in UST yield points to emerging risk factors.
  • Narrowing the trade gap with the US could strengthen Indonesia’s position, though key US export still present notable challenges.
  • Focus is expected to return to domestic growth trends, with both supply- and demand-side policies likely to provide continued support.

 

HIGHLIGHTS

  • De-escalation for Now
  • Narrowing the Trade Gap: How Challenging Is It?
  • Spotlight Returns to Domestic Growth Outlook.
  • Capital Market – External Volatility Risk
  • Fixed Income Flow
  • State Sharia Securities (SBSN) Auction Announcement – April 15, 2025

 

This Week Key Focus

  • China Trade Balance reached USD102.6bn  in March 2025
  • China GDP Growth – 1Q25 (Wednesday)
  • Indonesia FX Reserve surged to USD157.1bn in Mar-25
  • Indonesia Consumer Confidence (Tuesday) and Retail Sales – March 2025

 

Last week Key Events

GLOBAL UPDATES

  • Trump pause higher reciprocal tariff for 90 days for all countries except China and exempt some electronics from the tariff
  • US Core Inflation eased to 2.8% y-y in Mar-25

 

DOMESTIC UPDATES

  • Indonesia posted a 1.03% y-y inflation in Mar-25 (+1.65% m-m)

 

 

 

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