FROM EQUITY RESEARCH DESK
IDEA OF THE DAY
Telkom Indonesia: Soft 3Q26 Mobile Revenue; Gearing Up for a FY27 Expansion Phase (TLKM.IJ Rp1,885; BUY TP Rp3,500)
- 3Q26 ARPU fell 2.4% qoq on softer spending, seasonality and tactical competition; Mgmt. expects a stronger Dec26 exit ARPU.
- FY27–28F capex to step up on DC and subsea.
- We maintain Buy rating with TP of Rp3,500; Key catalysts are the InfraNexia stake sale and a potential DC partnership in 2027.
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Unilever Indonesia: Topline Momentum Continues Amid Cost Headwinds (UNVR.IJ Rp1,390; BUY TP Rp1,900)
- UNVR’s topline recovery continued in 3Q26, driven by stronger volume and selective ASP hikes, amid ongoing cost pressures.
- UNVR continues to prioritize premiumization, while further ASP hikes are planned for 4Q26 and FY27 to offset input cost pressures.
- We cut our FY26-28F earnings est. by 3.4-7.2% and lower TP of Rp1,900; maintain Buy rating on strong vol play & op efficiency.
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MARKET NEWS
MACROECONOMY
Democrats Regained Control of Both Chambers of The US Congress
Democrats regained control of both chambers of the US Congress, securing at least 228 House seats and 54 Senate seats in a major setback for President Trump. The results came amid voter concerns over affordability, inflation, and the Iran war. Democrats also won governorships in Texas and Georgia, while several Republican candidates backed by Trump lost their races. The outcome marks the first major check on Trump’s power in his second term, with Democrats expected to increase scrutiny of the administration. (Bloomberg)
SECTOR
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Top Foreign Flow – JCI, November 4,2026 |
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Commodity Price Daily Update November 4,2026
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Indonesia Lowers Main Coal Benchmark Price by 0.95% to US$125.60/t in 1H Nov26 The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) set the main coal reference price (HBA) at US$125.60/t for 1–14 Nov26, down 0.95% from US$126.81/t in 2H Oct26, but still up 21.1% yoyY. Meanwhile, benchmark prices for lower-calorie coal increased, with 5,300 kcal/kg GAR coal rising 4.5% to US$97.85/t, 4,100 kcal/kg increasing 4.8% to US$69.28/t, and 3,400 kcal/kg rising 2.4% to US$46.64/t. (Kontan)
Indonesia’s Oil & Gas Trade Deficit Widens 70.3% yoy to US$23.6bn in 9M26 Indonesia’s oil and gas trade deficit widened 70.3% yoy to US$23.6bn in 9M26, as exports fell 9.1% to US$8.96bn while imports rose 37.4% to US$32.57bn. In Sep26, the deficit narrowed slightly MoM to US$2.31bn from US$2.54bn in Aug26, supported by a 7.4% mom decline in imports to US$3.27bn. (Kontan)
Indonesia’s Automotive Component Industry Benefits from 16% yoy Vehicle Production Growth Indonesia’s automotive component industry is seeing higher demand from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), supported by a 16% yoy increase in four-wheel vehicle production through Sep26. Around 90% of members of the Association of Automotive Parts and Components Industries (GIAMM) supply components to automotive manufacturers. (Kontan)
Indonesia Gold Demand Declines in 3Q26 Amid Elevated Prices Indonesia’s gold jewellery consumption fell 18% YoY to 3.1 tons in 3Q26, from 3.8 tons in 3Q25, according to the World Gold Council (WGC). Demand for gold bars and coins also declined 25% YoY and 8% QoQ to 13.3 tons, reflecting weaker consumer demand amid elevated gold prices. (Kontan)
Indonesian Government Targets to Issue Toll Road Integration Regulation in Nov26 |
The Ministry of Public Works (PU), through the Toll Road Regulatory Agency (BPJT), is finalizing a regulation on toll road integration, targeted for issuance in Nov26. The policy will cover operational integration and tariff adjustments across urban toll networks, including Greater Jakarta, Greater Surabaya, and Greater Medan, with integration plans based on commuter movements and logistics corridors. (Kontan)
CORPORATE
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ASSA Declares Rp20/share Interim Dividend ASSA has declared an interim dividend of Rp20/share for FY26, totaling Rp73.82bn, following approval by its board of commissioners on 2 Nov-26. The dividend is based on financial results as of 30 Sep26, when net profit attributable to parent entity owners reached Rp292.3bn. Payment is scheduled no later than 20 Nov26. (Emiten News)
BRMS Targets Gold Production of Over 90,000 Oz in 2027 BRMS targets gold production of over 90,000 oz in 2027, supported by the planned commencement of underground mining in 2H27, with average gold grades exceeding 3.2 g/t. For FY26, the company targets production of 65,000–70,000 oz, following output of 16,700 oz in 3Q26 and an expected increase to over 25,000 oz in 4Q26. FY26 production will come entirely from its open-pit mine, with an average gold grade of around 1.5 g/t. (Bisnis)
GMFI Transfers 65.77% Stake to Danantara Asset Management as Part of Garuda Group Restructuring GMFI reported the transfer of 82.10bn Series B shares, equivalent to a 65.77% stake, from PT Angkasa Pura Indonesia to PT Aviasi Pariwisata Indonesia (InJourney), and subsequently to PT Danantara Asset Management (DAM). The transfers were conducted through an in-specie dividend mechanism as part of the restructuring and financial recovery of Garuda Indonesia Group. (Bisnis)
PGEO Allocates 5MW Geothermal Capacity for Data Center Power Supply Pilot Project PGEO has allocated 5MW of geothermal capacity at its Kamojang facility in West Java for a data center power supply pilot project, expected to run for 1–2 years. The company is currently completing regulatory adjustments and internal assessments of supply capacity to existing off-takers, with the process targeted for completion by late 2026 or early 2027 before proceeding to commercialization. (Bisnis)
WINS Provides Up to Rp129.4bn Corporate Guarantee for Subsidiary’s Financing WINS has provided a corporate guarantee of up to Rp129.35bn to PT Bank Nano Syariah to support financing facilities obtained by its more than 99%-owned subsidiary, PT Sentosasegara Mulia Shipping. (Emiten News) |


